Pollsters are F**king Lying that All 7 Battleground States are Tied

Nate Silver excoriates pollsters for herding their polls, so they don't deviate from consensus as an outlier. "You're cheating."

NEWS

11/2/20242 min read

Polling data expert Nate Silver publicly excoriated his fellow pollsters for lying and cheating with their Presidential election polls.

  • (From Randy Desoto, Western Journal) On his “Risky Business” podcast with co-host Maria Konnikova posted Wednesday, he revealed that he does not put too much weight in polls coming out during the last week of the campaign, alleging many pollsters cheat to obtain their desired numbers.

“They all, every time a pollster [says], ‘Oh, every state is just +1, every single state’s a tie,’ No! You’re f***ing herding! You’re cheating,” he argued.

We ran the numbers. Even if all 7 swing states are actually tied, there’s only a ~1 in 9.5 trillion chance~ that so many polls would show such a close race.

He prefaced his overall forecast saying, “It’s still approximately a 50-50 race,” even though his published odds of winning poll, the Silver Bulletin, show Trump with a ten-point advantage for the win.

The polling industry has been exposed as cowards because in the end they adjust their polls to avoid embarrassment or being rejected by their donors.

What the majority of pollsters are doing is to say, "See, now you can't blame us if we were wrong because we basically said either could win."

What's the point of a weatherman who won't even try to predict the weather? 'Folks we could see heavy rains today...or it might be sunny and perfectly dry."

"Information that has no value (a tie) is worthless," concluded Silver.

When a prominent pollster calls out his own for lying just days out from an election, you know we are being gas lit by the "expert" class.

For context the Real Clear Politics average of polls has Trump up by 0.3% today. This Day In History - 3 Days to Election: 2020: Biden +7.8 | 2016: Clinton +1.5